Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000661 0.000750 0.000844 0.000951 0.001068 0.001193 0.001335
2025-12-07 0.000520 0.000643 0.000782 0.000949 0.001144 0.001363 0.001626
2025-12-14 0.000438 0.000574 0.000735 0.000937 0.001181 0.001466 0.001819
2025-12-21 0.000373 0.000516 0.000692 0.000921 0.001208 0.001551 0.001988
2025-12-28 0.000339 0.000491 0.000685 0.000944 0.001278 0.001686 0.002219
2026-01-04 0.000308 0.000466 0.000673 0.000958 0.001333 0.001803 0.002427
2026-01-11 0.000274 0.000432 0.000647 0.000950 0.001359 0.001881 0.002587
2026-01-18 0.000244 0.000402 0.000622 0.000941 0.001380 0.001952 0.002738
2026-01-25 0.000224 0.000383 0.000611 0.000949 0.001424 0.002052 0.002929
2026-02-01 0.000205 0.000363 0.000597 0.000951 0.001457 0.002137 0.003100
2026-02-08 0.000179 0.000332 0.000563 0.000922 0.001446 0.002162 0.003190
2026-02-15 0.000159 0.000306 0.000536 0.000900 0.001442 0.002195 0.003290
2026-02-22 0.000144 0.000289 0.000520 0.000896 0.001464 0.002265 0.003444
2026-03-01 0.000131 0.000273 0.000507 0.000894 0.001489 0.002340 0.003607
2026-03-08 0.000118 0.000256 0.000489 0.000882 0.001499 0.002392 0.003738
2026-03-15 0.000105 0.000238 0.000469 0.000867 0.001502 0.002434 0.003854
2026-03-22 0.000101 0.000235 0.000472 0.000889 0.001563 0.002561 0.004096
2026-03-29 0.000095 0.000228 0.000470 0.000902 0.001608 0.002667 0.004309
2026-04-05 0.000086 0.000216 0.000457 0.000895 0.001622 0.002725 0.004452
2026-04-12 0.000078 0.000204 0.000443 0.000886 0.001633 0.002778 0.004588
2026-04-19 0.000073 0.000197 0.000439 0.000894 0.001671 0.002873 0.004789
2026-04-26 0.000068 0.000189 0.000431 0.000895 0.001697 0.002950 0.004963
2026-05-03 0.000059 0.000174 0.000409 0.000868 0.001675 0.002952 0.005024